Early season heat wave through mid-June
One small change in the value of a teleconnection is all that was needed to change our weather from cool and wet to hot and dry. This is a perfect example of why seasonal forecasting is so difficult....
View ArticlePattern change to cooler mid-month
The 2nd in a series of weakening cold fronts will bring about a pattern change that will end the early-season heat wave and bring about a return to cooler weather. The first front will cross the...
View ArticleCool pattern to end – but will it rain?
My last post two weeks ago ended with the following… If this all happens as currently forecast, the 2nd half of June could end up cooler than normal due to a NW flow, but we may not see very much in...
View ArticleSummer 2008 half-time report
Now that summer 2008 is officially half-over, I thought it would be interesting to see how my forecast from May is turning out. Aside from a very hot first two weeks of June, everything seems to be on...
View ArticleDolly remnants and 100F heat
A nasty 594 ridge is poised to bring the Mid-South close to the 100F mark this weekend. Will tropical thunderstorms from the remnants of Dolly keep us from triple digits? (more…)
View ArticleLate-week cool snap to follow heat
The last post mentioned that the heat wave this week would be short-lived due to a negative NAO that would develop mid-week. This negative NAO will now combine with a negative EPO and positive PNA to...
View ArticleFinally, some interesting weather
Since my last post in eary August, the weather over the Mid-South has been typical of August — Boring!! However, the models are showing signs of an active pattern for much of the eastern United States...
View ArticleOctober should start chilly
Aside from the gusty winds from the remnants of Hurricane Ike a week ago, September has been a dull month weather-wise for the Mid-South with a split flow pattern that has kept Kentucky comfortably...
View ArticleKyle heads to Nova Scotia – KY rain chances fizzle
Model trends show that Tropical Storm Kyle appears to be headed for Nova Scotia rather than New England, which will set a chain of events in motion that will diminish the chance for rain in the...
View ArticleAMS Mentorship program
The AMS Board for Private Sector Meteorologists (BPSM) has reached across private industry to connect a cross-section of professionals working in private sector positions related to meteorology willing...
View ArticleSplit-flow pattern to return
After the first real fall-like air mass of the season, a split-flow pattern will return to the Mid-South and temperatures will once again warm above normal. Rain chance look slim until the weekend of...
View ArticleTwo good rain chances next 10 days
The Mid-South will have two good rain chances over the next 10 days. The big question will be whether the 2nd of the two rains is a drought-denter or a drought-buster. (more…)
View ArticleChange to cooler – but still mainly dry
Current conditions show the slow-moving storm that brought heavy snow to the northern Rockies this past weekend now located over Ontario. A secondary low has developed along the cold front and is...
View ArticleWild weather to end October
October is a month of building arctic cold across the prairies of Canada, so when zonal flow across the northern United States persists for the first 20 days of the month as we have seen thus far,...
View ArticleCold blast short lived – November to start dry
The Mid-South is experiencing the first taste of winter today as arctic has spread across the region. Wind chills are barely above freezing across the Bluegrass as light rain is falling. There may even...
View ArticleNocturnal tornado risk in the Mid-South
A group of climate researchers at Northern Illinois University have published a paper that shows that the Mid-South has the greatest percentage of nocturnal tornadoes in the United States. Over 40% of...
View ArticleSnow (flurries) this weekend?
An unsettled week of weather is in store for the Mid-South. None of the storms moving through this week will be strong but precipitation is possible every day through the weekend, including the...
View ArticleCold to continue; big storm in early December?
The early taste of winter will continue through at least the first week of December. In fact, some of the longer range models suggest the below normal temperatures will continue through Christmas....
View ArticleMeteorology is a high-paying job
According to CareerBuilder.com, meteorology is a high-paying job (average salary $68,000) with decent growth potential (11%) over the next decade. See here for the entire article.
View ArticleTuesday storm looks like rain
After nearly a month of below normal temperatures across the Mid-South we are finally looking at the first truly big winter storm of the season. Unfortunately for those who love snow, most of Kentucky...
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